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Home / News / Who will win the T100 Triathlon World Tour 2025? We preview the Qatar Grand Final and make predictions

Who will win the T100 Triathlon World Tour 2025? We preview the Qatar Grand Final and make predictions

Ahead of the T100 Qatar Grand Final, we recap the season's racing and predict the overall winners.

Collage of Kate Waugh and Hayden Wilde winning at Wollongong T100
Credit: T100

The 2025 T100 Triathlon World Championships will be decided on 12 December with double points on offer at the Qatar Grand Final.

So which athletes are poised to follow on from 2024 champions Taylor Knibb and Marten Van Riel? We’ll recap this season’s racing and the current standings before looking into our crystal ball.

Don’t miss the action by reading how to watch the Qatar T100.

What’s happened in the women’s 2025 T100?

Smiling Julie Derron crosses the finish line at the San Francisco T100
Derron started strong and has continued in the same vein. (Credit: T100)

At the season opener in Singapore, Kate Waugh took the win on T100 debut

Julie Derron won in San Francisco thanks to an outstanding run. 

Defending champion Taylor Knibb returned to form in Vancouver before Lucy Charles-Barclay won at home in London. 

On the French Riviera, Ashleigh Gentle won her first T100 event.

In Spain Charles-Barclay won again, cementing her position at the top of the rankings. 

Waugh’s second triumph came in Wollongong then Derron beat her in Dubai to set up a title shoot-out between them in Qatar. 

Who will win the women’s T100 Triathlon World Championships in 2025?

Lucy Charles-Barclay rides during T100 Spain
Could Charles-Barclay spring a surprise?(Credit: T100)

As you can see, the women’s top three are close. Waugh only has to finish ahead of Derron to clinch the title. But if Derron beats her and takes double points, she could easily overturn the six-point deficit. And having won in Dubai, momentum is arguably with the Swiss. 

Place in Doha finalePoints Awarded
1st55 pts
2nd46 pts
3rd41 pts

In terms of the athletes’ strengths, a showdown on the run would suit Derron. But Waugh’s swim and bike advantage could enable her to pull away early on. 

Third-place Charles-Barclay is an outsider who has the strength on the swim and the bike to cause an upset. She showed in Spain she can break away on the run too. Having missed the Dubai race, the 2025 Ironman 70.3 World Champion will probably have to win overall in Doha. 

Current women’s T100 standings

RankAthletePoints
1Kate Waugh (GBR)128
2Julie Derron (SUI)122
3Lucy Charles-Barclay (GBR)119

What’s happened in the men’s 2025 T100 season?

Singapore on the 6th April 2025 for the Singapore T100 pro mens race at Marina Bay Sands, Singapore
Can anyone catch Wilde? (Credit: Bartlomiej Zborowski/T100)

Hayden Wilde started the season in dominant fashion by winning the opener in Singapore. His severe bike crash in San Francisco helped Rico Bogen win on the US west coast.

In Wilde’s absence, Jelle Geens took victory in Vancouver. On his injury comeback, Wilde won in London and followed up on the French Riviera, in Spain and Wollongong. 

Morgan Pearson ended the New Zealander’s winning run in a controversial Dubai race. 

Wilde, defending champion Van Riel and Mathis Margirier missed a turn on the bike and rode an extra 8km lap. 

Confusion continued on the run when a malfunctioning lap counter misled athletes about how far from the finish they were. 

Mika Noodt crossed the line first but officials dialed back to the last lap with trustworthy timings where Pearson led. 

Who will win the men’s T100 Triathlon World Championships in 2025?

T100 Dubai, UAE on 15th November 2025 - Mens Race
Credit: T100

The men’s standings are less tight than the men’s, despite Wilde having finished 8th in Dubai. This is because the T100 standings are calculated from the total of the athlete’s best four scores (out of the nine races) added to their Grand Final points tally. 

Having scored the maximum 35 points for his four wins, Wilde’s 13 points didn’t count. Jelle Geens’ 23 points for fourth did count though, closing the gap to first, as did Noodt’s 29 points for second. 

That said, Geens is the only viable challenger to Wilde, whom he’ll need to distance considerably to snatch the overall title. Having recently defended his Ironman 70.3 World Championship title, he might have the form to do so. 

Current’s men’s T100 standings

RankAthletePoints
1Hayden Wilde (NZL)140
2Jelle Geens (BEL)122
3Mika Noodt (GER)113
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About

Jack is an NCTJ-trained freelance sports journalist. He's worked for the Kyiv Post, SWNS press agency and BikeRadar. A runner turned cyclist, Jack loves a challenge on the bike, whether that's a 300km audax or steep hill climb race.